Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 114.302261 126.189391 138.365598 151.743802 166.002959 180.720460 197.032778
2025-05-11 95.454105 113.265816 132.399087 154.362568 178.759772 204.914949 234.958671
2025-05-18 75.868833 96.776043 120.306435 148.458142 180.929406 216.925946 259.560042
2025-05-25 62.411992 85.300064 112.207298 145.622678 185.454368 230.884160 286.073226
2025-06-01 53.040739 77.359113 107.120778 145.333177 192.202847 246.963569 314.903132
2025-06-08 46.299496 71.764635 104.102979 146.876657 200.661750 264.806307 345.803423
2025-06-15 42.409184 69.333388 104.629705 152.494711 213.923130 288.407376 383.788455
2025-06-22 37.921356 65.517044 102.885949 154.835105 222.847275 306.639016 415.376380
2025-06-29 33.441148 61.164702 99.962077 155.239180 229.023865 321.324614 442.621588
2025-07-06 29.954465 57.850350 98.112762 156.784978 236.480249 337.535042 471.813258
2025-07-13 27.976797 56.600263 98.999340 161.943628 248.661053 359.821428 508.831290
2025-07-20 25.662864 54.544964 98.505587 165.025266 257.992406 378.468972 541.383862
2025-07-27 23.862552 53.208804 99.052773 169.676859 269.700953 400.623859 579.077588
2025-08-03 21.818283 51.239149 98.490599 172.659886 279.155160 419.977514 613.477168
2025-08-10 17.983758 45.620724 91.837445 166.346019 275.404492 421.668140 624.878791
2025-08-17 15.305025 41.733880 87.595330 163.312667 276.021007 429.036207 643.647606
2025-08-24 13.444777 39.158701 85.277690 163.018355 280.422502 441.473226 669.160847
2025-08-31 12.115989 37.470505 84.305637 164.700914 287.636791 457.775512 699.941887
2025-09-07 11.586405 37.410698 86.118309 170.790880 301.382287 483.211859 743.208309
2025-09-14 10.586286 36.171861 85.747537 173.326880 309.869377 501.429290 776.908775
2025-09-21 9.406139 34.334924 84.152398 173.765556 315.167188 515.205959 804.685857
2025-09-28 8.497916 32.996443 83.358960 175.438914 322.292569 531.578120 836.106611
2025-10-05 8.116019 32.914849 84.903649 181.018535 335.417790 556.546895 879.492452